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Sierra Nevada8 models · GOES-18 · MRMS · NWS

Truckee & Sierra Nevada Weather Intelligence

Truckee, California

From orbit to the jobsite. Satellite, upper air, radar, eight forecast models and every live ground station nearby, blended every time this page loads and checked against what actually happened.

Weather call · Truckee
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Scanning Safety Systems...
Checking NWS alerts, earthquakes, fires, air quality, and avalanche conditions
⚠ NWS Weather Alerts
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🌬 Air Quality Index
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🔥 Active Fires Nearby
Scanning for active fires...
🌍 Earthquake Activity — 200km Radius
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🏔 Avalanche Conditions
Checking avalanche advisory...
Data Sources: NWS alerts via api.weather.gov · Air quality via Open-Meteo · Fire data via NASA FIRMS · Earthquakes via USGS · Avalanche data via avalanche.org / Sierra Avalanche Center. All data is free, public, and updated automatically.
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⏱ Next 24 Hours
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Crew GO/NO-GO Dashboard → How we use this data on the jobsite →
📅 16-Day Outlook
✍ Forecaster's Note LIVE

Writing today's note from live conditions…

🔮
Extended Outlook — Days 17-30
Trend-level signals blending model momentum with climatology
Lower confidence — trend signals only. These improve as dates approach.
CONFIDENCE DECAY
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🌡 Extended Temperature Signal
Projected range with confidence bands — uncertainty grows with time
💧 Extended Precipitation Signal
Weekly precipitation probability — color-coded by risk threshold
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You're viewing: FORECAST — the full platform with all 8 tabs.
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You're viewing: STORMS
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🌎 Live & Forecast Maps (Windy)
Air Quality & Smoke
🔮 Radar and Future Radar
Kerr Storm Tracker Radar and future radar live in Storms Live NEXRAD, our own storm projection for as long as it beats the models, HRRR and GFS to 48 hours, then ECMWF on Windy to 10 days. Storm cell tracks, a jobsite ETA, light or dark maps and radar opacity. Open the Storm Tracker →
🛰 NOAA Satellite (GOES-18 West)
GOES-18 satellite imagery over Truckee, Lake Tahoe and the Sierra Nevada — live weather view
📈 NOAA Analysis Charts & QPF
Surface Analysis
NOAA surface weather analysis chart — pressure systems affecting Truckee and the Sierra Nevada
500mb Analysis
500mb upper-air analysis chart — Sierra Nevada storm tracking
Jet Stream (300mb)
Jet stream 300mb wind analysis — Pacific storms approaching Sierra Nevada
Day 1 QPF
Day 1 quantitative precipitation forecast — Truckee and Sierra Nevada expected rainfall
Day 1-3 QPF
Day 1-3 QPF precipitation forecast map for Truckee and Lake Tahoe
5-Day QPF
5-day QPF precipitation forecast — Sierra Nevada storm totals
7-Day QPF
7-day QPF precipitation outlook for the Sierra Nevada and Truckee area
⚡ SPC Convective Outlook
Day 1 Outlook
SPC Day 1 severe weather convective outlook — thunderstorm risk for Truckee and Sierra Nevada
Day 2 Outlook
SPC Day 2 convective outlook — Sierra Nevada severe weather forecast
Day 3 Outlook
SPC Day 3 convective outlook — extended severe weather risk map
📅 CPC Climate Outlook Products
🌡 Week 1 Outlook (6-10 Day)▼
6-10 Day Temperature
CPC 6-10 day temperature outlook — Truckee and Sierra Nevada extended forecast
6-10 Day Precipitation
CPC 6-10 day precipitation outlook — Sierra Nevada rain and snow probability
🌡 Week 2 Outlook (8-14 Day)▼
8-14 Day Temperature
CPC 8-14 day temperature outlook — extended Sierra Nevada weather forecast
8-14 Day Precipitation
CPC 8-14 day precipitation outlook — Lake Tahoe and Sierra rain and snow forecast
🌧 Week 3-4 Outlook▼
Week 3-4 Temperature
Wk 3-4 Temp
Week 3-4 Precipitation
Wk 3-4 Precip
📅 Monthly Outlook (1-Month Lead)▼
Monthly Temperature
Monthly Temp
Monthly Precipitation
Monthly Precip
🌦 Seasonal Outlook (3-Month Lead)▼
Seasonal Temperature
Seasonal Temp
Seasonal Precipitation
Seasonal Precip
🌎 Drought Outlook▼
U.S. Drought Outlook
U.S. drought outlook map — Sierra Nevada and California drought conditions
⚠ U.S. Hazards Outlook▼
U.S. Hazards Outlook
CPC U.S. hazards outlook — severe weather and extreme event risk map

🌐 ADVANCED MODEL VIEWER

Professional forecast model maps — switch models, parameters, and time steps

Model
Parameter
Forecast Hour 0
Forecast model map for Truckee and Sierra Nevada — GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, JMA, ECMWF-AI weather models
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Source: Tropical Tidbits — tropicaltidbits.com

Sierra Nevada Weather Maps & Radar

Live weather maps for Truckee, Lake Tahoe, and the Sierra Nevada including real-time Doppler radar, precipitation radar loop, wind speed and direction maps, temperature maps, cloud cover, thunderstorm tracking, snow depth, and GOES-18 satellite imagery. Our radar covers the Reno CWA (KRGX) with playable loops showing the last 3-6 hours of precipitation movement across I-80, Donner Pass, and the greater Tahoe Basin.

Available Weather Maps

Radar (live loop) · Rain accumulation · Wind speed & gusts · Temperature · Cloud cover · Thunder & lightning · Snow depth · GOES-18 visible satellite · Infrared satellite · Water vapor · Pacific overview · NOAA radar (Reno CWA) · RainViewer animated radar · SPC severe weather outlook · Jet stream · QPF precipitation forecast · CPC 6-10 day temperature outlook · CPC 8-14 day precipitation outlook · ECMWF model viewer · GFS model viewer

Advanced Forecast Models

Compare output from all 8 ensemble models — GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM (Canadian), JMA (Japan), UKMO (UK Met Office), CMA (China), and ECMWF-AI — across precip type, snow accumulation, temperature, wind, 500mb heights, jet stream, CAPE instability, total precipitation, and surface pressure. Step through individual forecast hours or animate the full run. Useful for tracking incoming Sierra storms 7-10 days out.

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You're viewing: MAPS
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You're viewing: DATA
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You're viewing: STATIONS
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You're viewing: ACCURACY
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📍 This forecast is for Truckee, California · Change location ↑
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You're viewing: BLOG
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📷 Live Caltrans Cameras — I-80 / SR-89 / SR-267
Traffic Camera
LIVE
Camera Offline
I-80 · Castle Peak
⛷ Ski Resort Cameras — Palisades Tahoe
📷Palisades BaseOFFLINE
Palisades Base
6,200 ft
LIVE
📷Palisades ScopeOFFLINE
Palisades Scope
8,200 ft
LIVE
📷Siberia BowlOFFLINE
Siberia Bowl
8,000 ft
LIVE
📷Alpine Meadows PeakOFFLINE
Alpine Meadows Peak
8,637 ft
LIVE
🔥 Wildfire Cameras (ALERTCalifornia)
Live ALERTCalifornia/ALERTWildfire cameras covering the Truckee-Tahoe region. These cameras are monitored 24/7 for smoke detection and early fire response.
📍 Tap a camera pin on the map to view its live feed. Use +/- to zoom into the Tahoe-Truckee area.
🛣 Road Intelligence
Chain Controls & Closures · I-80, Hwy 89, Hwy 267, Hwy 28
Loading live Caltrans data...
🏔 Avalanche Conditions
Sierra Avalanche Center
Loading avalanche advisory...
🌏 Recent Earthquake Activity
Loading USGS earthquake data...
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You're viewing: CAMERAS
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🔥 Active Fires — Sierra Nevada Region
NIFC interagency perimeters + NASA FIRMS hotspots · Auto-refreshes · ~100 mi radius from Truckee
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Scanning for active fires...
🌎 Live Fire Perimeter Map
NIFC fire boundaries (red) + MODIS/VIIRS hotspots · Click any perimeter for details
Fire Perimeter MODIS/VIIRS Hotspot Truckee
CARTO Dark · NIFC ArcGIS · NASA FIRMS
📷 ALERTCalifornia Wildfire Cameras
Live ALERTCalifornia cameras covering the Truckee-Tahoe region. Over 1,200 cameras monitored 24/7 for smoke detection and early fire response. Tap a camera pin to view its live feed.
MARTIS PEAK
8,742 ft · Covers Truckee, Northstar, I-80/SR-267
SLIDE MOUNTAIN
9,698 ft · Mt. Rose, Incline Village, NE basin
HEAVENLY
10,067 ft · South Shore, Meyers, Christmas Valley
HOMEWOOD
7,880 ft · West Shore, Tahoma to Tahoe City
DOLLAR POINT
6,800 ft · North Shore, Tahoe City to Kings Beach
INCLINE VILLAGE
7,200 ft · NV North Shore, Diamond Peak, Crystal Bay
EMERALD BAY
6,600 ft · SW shore, D.L. Bliss to Cascade Lake
SOUTH LAKE TAHOE
6,300 ft · South Shore urban corridor, Angora Ridge
🏭 Air Quality — Smoke & Fire Context
US AQI
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PM2.5
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µg/m³
PM10
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OZONE
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Smoke Impact Guide: AQI under 50 is normal. 51-100 is moderate — sensitive groups should limit outdoor exertion. 101-150 is unhealthy for sensitive groups — wear N95 if working outdoors. 151+ is unhealthy for everyone — seal windows, run HEPA filters, avoid outdoor work.
⚠ Fire Weather Alerts
Checking NWS for fire weather alerts...
🚲 Evacuation & Emergency Resources
Placer County OES
Truckee, Tahoe City, Kings Beach, North Shore. Sign up for zone-specific evacuation alerts.
placer-alert.org
Nevada County OES
Truckee (west), Donner Lake, Hirschdale, western Nevada County.
mynevadacounty.com
El Dorado County OES
South Lake Tahoe, Meyers, West Shore. Evacuation zones and alerts.
edcgov.us
Washoe County EM
Incline Village, Crystal Bay, Reno, Sparks (NV side).
washoecounty.gov
🚨 CAL FIRE Incidents 🔥 InciWeb 🛒 Ready for Wildfire 📞 Call 911
Data Sources: Fire perimeters via NIFC ArcGIS · Hotspots via NASA FIRMS MODIS/VIIRS · Air quality via Open-Meteo · Fire weather alerts via NWS api.weather.gov · Cameras via ALERTCalifornia (UC San Diego / CAL FIRE). All data is free, public, and updated automatically.
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You're viewing: WILDFIRE
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🛡 Public Safety Dashboard
⚠ NWS Weather Alerts
🌬 Air Quality Index
🔥 Active Fires Nearby
🌍 Earthquake Activity
🏔 Avalanche Conditions
Data Sources: NWS alerts via api.weather.gov · Air quality via Open-Meteo · Fire data via NASA FIRMS · Earthquakes via USGS · Avalanche data via avalanche.org / Sierra Avalanche Center. All data is free, public, and updated automatically.

Space → ground

Every layer this forecast is built from. Tap one to see it live.

  1. Orbit · 35,786 kmSatelliteGOES-18 West
    Visible, infrared, water vapor
  2. Jet stream · 30,000 ftUpper air500 mb · 300 mb · QPF
    NOAA WPC analysis
  3. Atmosphere · 0 to 60k ftRadarNOAA MRMS · KRGX
    Every NEXRAD, 2 min
  4. Physics · 8 modelsModelsECMWF · GFS · ICON · more
    Weighted by measured skill
  5. Surface · 2 mStationsNWS · RAWS · backyard
    Upstream to downstream
  6. Jobsite · TruckeeGround truthVerified daily
    Forecast vs what happened
About This Platform

errolkerr.com/weather is a free weather intelligence platform for Truckee, California and the Sierra Nevada, built by Errol Kerr. It combines eight global forecast models — ECMWF IFS, ECMWF AIFS, GFS, ICON, JMA, GEM, UKMO and CMA — into a single ensemble view with a 16-day extended forecast, real-time storm-cell tracking with approach ETAs, wildfire and smoke-direction alerts, 22 live Caltrans highway cameras along the I-80 corridor, upstream weather station data, USGS river streamflow readings, and 42+ interactive charts. The platform includes a self-learning back-checker that records forecast vs. actual conditions daily. Free forever, no signup required. Also see the GO/NO-GO crew weather decision tool and the storm forecast tracker.